Toulouse vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 5
TFC
7%
16%
76%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
REN
1 - 3
TFC
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 3
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |