Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LYO
4 - 0
TFC
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 3
MAR
34%
29%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
TFC
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
PSG
0 - 0
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LYO
4 - 0
TFC
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
LYO
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |