Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PSG
5 - 0
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
MPL
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
3 - 3
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
LYO
3 - 0
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 0
LYO
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIC
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |