Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
MPL
2 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
TFC
1 - 1
SPO
48%
29%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
REN
2 - 0
TFC
32%
30%
39%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
TFC
2 - 1
PSG
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 0
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1990 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
35%
30%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
NAN
2 - 2
NIC
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
LIL
0 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 2
MET
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |