Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
STL
3 - 2
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 2
GIR
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
NIC
1 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
NIC
5 - 1
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
4 - 0
NIC
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
NIC
2 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |