Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
TFC
1 - 0
REI
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
ANG
1 - 1
TFC
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
TFC
0 - 1
NÎM
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
LIL
3 - 1
TFC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
ASS
3 - 0
TFC
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
LIL
3 - 0
NIC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
NIC
1 - 0
REI
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
ASS
7 - 0
NIC
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
NIC
4 - 1
NÎM
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |