Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
NAN
2 - 0
TFC
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASS
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
GIR
3 - 0
TFC
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 0
LIL
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ANG
2 - 0
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
NIC
1 - 1
SFP
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
MON
0 - 3
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
NIC
4 - 2
LYO
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
STR
1 - 3
NIC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
NIC
3 - 1
SOC
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |