Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FCR
2 - 1
TFC
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
TFC
2 - 2
FCR
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
LEN
2 - 1
TFC
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1963 |
TFC
0 - 2
SFP
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
NIC
1 - 3
VAL
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VAL
7 - 2
NIC
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
NIC
1 - 1
RAC
30%
21%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
SED
8 - 1
NIC
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
NIC
1 - 1
STR
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |