Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
REN
3 - 1
TFC
52%
22%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
TFC
4 - 2
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
STR
3 - 1
TFC
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1962 |
FCR
0 - 1
TFC
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 0
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
SED
0 - 0
NIC
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
VAL
2 - 2
NIC
42%
24%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
NIC
3 - 1
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |