Ligue 1 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Toulouse vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 3
TFC
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 2
PAU
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
LHA
0 - 1
TFC
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 2
MPL
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 4
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAN
3 - 0
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 4
NAN
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
NAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |