Toulouse vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
GAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAN
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 2
GIR
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
MTO
0 - 1
NAN
6%
15%
78%
|
77 | 24 | 53 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 2
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |