Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 0
TFC
18%
25%
58%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
AUB
0 - 2
TFC
7%
15%
78%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
AMI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CLE
28%
28%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 5
ASN
65%
21%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASN
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 2
GRE
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |