Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LES
0 - 1
TFC
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 2
GIR
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 1
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 0
TFC
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
MPL
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 4
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 2
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 2
REN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |