Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GIR
4 - 3
TFC
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 0
MON
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 3
SPA
39%
29%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
GIR
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |