Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1987 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
TFC
1 - 1
PSG
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
GIR
2 - 3
TFC
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
TFC
4 - 2
REN
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
TFC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1987 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
MAR
3 - 2
ASN
76%
15%
8%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1987 |
ASN
0 - 0
PSG
36%
30%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
LEN
0 - 0
ASN
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
SOC
0 - 1
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |