Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 1
STL
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
STR
1 - 0
TFC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
STL
2 - 2
ASN
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
RAC
1 - 0
ASN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |