Toulouse vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 0
TFC
45%
29%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
TFC
2 - 0
REN
65%
23%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
PSG
3 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
TFC
0 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
ASS
1 - 4
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1991 |
MPL
0 - 0
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1991 |
GIR
1 - 0
MPL
56%
26%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
MPL
1 - 1
NAN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
CAE
1 - 0
MPL
42%
29%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
MPL
1 - 2
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |