Toulouse vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 0
PSG
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
13%
24%
64%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
TFC
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 0
PSG
31%
30%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
TFC
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MON
0 - 1
GIR
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RHO
0 - 6
MON
1%
14%
85%
|
90 | 8 | 82 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |