Toulouse vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
TFC
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
LHA
2 - 0
TFC
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
SFP
3 - 4
TFC
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
MON
4 - 3
TFC
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
TFC
0 - 1
NÎM
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1961 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
LYO
2 - 4
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
MON
0 - 1
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
MON
4 - 3
TFC
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ANG
2 - 0
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |