Toulouse vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
IST
0 - 4
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
ANG
0 - 1
TFC
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
TFC
1 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
TFC
1 - 2
CLE
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
REI
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
FCG
0 - 2
MET
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
MET
3 - 1
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |