Toulouse vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MON
3 - 0
TFC
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 1
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
LEN
2 - 0
TFC
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
MON
0 - 0
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
MET
0 - 0
NAN
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
SPO
2 - 1
MET
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |