Toulouse vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
6 - 1
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
0 - 1
SFP
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
NIC
3 - 1
TFC
55%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
SED
1 - 0
TFC
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
TFC
4 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
MET
2 - 4
RAC
21%
22%
58%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
NIC
2 - 1
MET
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
MET
2 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
MON
4 - 0
MET
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1962 |
SFP
2 - 2
MET
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |