Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 1
TFC
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
MAR
2 - 1
TFC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 2
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1984 |
STL
3 - 3
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1984 |
TFC
2 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
STL
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
LIL
3 - 0
STR
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1984 |
RAC
2 - 2
LIL
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1984 |
LIL
0 - 0
FCR
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |