Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1966 |
TFC
0 - 2
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 1
SFP
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
LYO
0 - 1
TFC
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
LIL
0 - 0
ANG
49%
23%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
REI
0 - 1
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
STR
4 - 1
LIL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1966 |
LIL
2 - 1
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
NÎM
4 - 1
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |