Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ANG
2 - 0
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SFP
2 - 0
TFC
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
TFC
4 - 1
LEN
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
TFC
1 - 0
LYO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
STR
2 - 2
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
LIL
1 - 2
NÎM
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
REN
4 - 0
LIL
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |