Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
TFC
3 - 1
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
FCR
3 - 0
TFC
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
TFC
1 - 1
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SFP
2 - 0
TFC
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
NAN
4 - 0
TFC
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VAL
3 - 0
LIL
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
LIL
3 - 2
REN
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ANG
1 - 1
LIL
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
NÎM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 2
LYO
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |