Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
TFC
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
TFC
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
REN
0 - 3
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TFC
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 3
PSG
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAE
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASS
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |