Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SOC
1 - 3
TFC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 2
PSG
36%
29%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
REN
3 - 1
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
USB
2 - 1
TFC
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIC
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 0
REN
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SOC
3 - 0
LEN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 2
PSG
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |