Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
ASS
2 - 1
TFC
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
MET
4 - 0
TFC
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1991 |
TFC
2 - 1
SOC
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
NÎM
2 - 2
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1991 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAE
48%
28%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
NÎM
0 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1991 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAE
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
SPO
0 - 1
LEN
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1991 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |