Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
LEV
1 - 0
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
TFC
0 - 0
AUX
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
TFC
1 - 1
LEV
53%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
MET
4 - 1
TFC
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 1
MPL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
LHA
0 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
STL
4 - 0
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 4
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
AUX
2 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |