Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 1
ANG
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
NÎM
2 - 0
TFC
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
REI
1 - 3
TFC
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1966 |
TFC
0 - 2
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1966 |
LEN
4 - 1
SFP
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
VAL
1 - 3
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
LEN
2 - 1
REN
40%
23%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
NAN
3 - 1
LEN
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
LEN
2 - 2
SED
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |