Toulouse vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
TFC
1 - 0
LYO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
STR
2 - 2
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
TFC
5 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1965 |
CAN
5 - 3
TFC
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1965 |
TFC
4 - 1
REN
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
LEN
3 - 0
RED
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
CAN
1 - 1
LEN
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LEN
4 - 1
REN
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 1
SOC
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |