Toulouse vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 2
MPL
57%
23%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
0 - 0
TFC
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 1
STL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 2
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
PFC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
3 - 0
ROD
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 2
SOC
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ANN
1 - 4
GUI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |