Toulouse vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NAN
3 - 2
TFC
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
LYO
4 - 1
TFC
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEN
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 0
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
TFC
2 - 1
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 0
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 2
MON
23%
24%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
NAN
2 - 1
GUI
68%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2000 |
GUI
0 - 1
LEN
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
TRO
0 - 1
GUI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |