Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
Toulouse vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
TFC
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 0
TFC
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 3
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
OFK
0 - 1
CSK
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CSK
3 - 1
VID
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
CSK
2 - 1
OMO
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SVA
0 - 2
CSK
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CSK
2 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |