Toulouse vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
TFC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 0
PFC
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PAU
0 - 3
TFC
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TFC
4 - 3
LHA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 2
AMI
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIO
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
NIO
0 - 3
VAL
34%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIO
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NIO
0 - 0
GRE
33%
29%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |