Toulouse vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 2
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEN
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
2 - 0
LMU
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2003 |
MET
0 - 0
TFC
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
REI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
IST
1 - 3
NIO
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
NIO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |