Toulouse vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TFC
3 - 0
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
IST
0 - 4
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
ANG
0 - 1
TFC
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
CAE
0 - 0
STL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
CAE
4 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
CAE
3 - 2
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +2 |