Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
2 - 2
CAN
46%
29%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
ASN
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
TFC
0 - 0
GIR
40%
31%
30%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
NAN
0 - 0
TFC
51%
28%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
STL
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |