Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
TFC
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
PSG
1 - 0
TFC
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
TFC
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
TFC
3 - 1
MET
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 2
STR
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |