Toulouse vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
TFC
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
TFC
3 - 1
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
TFC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 0
PSG
16%
22%
63%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 2
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
STR
2 - 1
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 0
STL
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
REI
3 - 0
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
AUX
0 - 1
LHA
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
AUX
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |