Toulouse vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
LYO
3 - 0
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 2
ANG
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
AUX
0 - 1
RED
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
2 - 3
AUX
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUX
2 - 0
PFC
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ASN
0 - 1
AUX
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |