Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-5
Toulouse vs Argeş Piteşti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
TFC
2 - 1
GIR
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
LYO
1 - 1
TFC
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
MAR
2 - 0
TFC
36%
25%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1966 |
TFC
1 - 1
FCR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Argeş Piteşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1966 |
ARG
4 - 2
JIU
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
RAP
2 - 1
ARG
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SEV
2 - 2
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 0
STB
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 0
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |