Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
COV
0 - 1
TOT
37%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
TOT
2 - 3
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1973 |
CRY
0 - 0
TOT
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 3
VST
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
UFT
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VST
3 - 1
FAB
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |