Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BOL
4 - 1
TOT
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
LEI
6 - 1
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
2 - 3
HUR
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
WHU
5 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |