Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
OLD
4 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
DER
2 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
SHW
1 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |