EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 2
WOL
68%
19%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 0
TOT
20%
22%
59%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TOT
3 - 6
LIV
19%
20%
61%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
TOT
4 - 3
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
2 - 2
MUD
73%
17%
10%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
WHU
0 - 5
LIV
12%
17%
72%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEI
82%
13%
6%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TOT
3 - 6
LIV
19%
20%
61%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
LIV
7%
14%
79%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |