FA Cup 1/32
Global 6-2
Tottenham Hotspur vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
TOT
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
TOT
4 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
BBU
2 - 1
TOT
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOT
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
HER
5 - 2
CAM
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
TOT
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
NOR
1 - 1
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1995 |
HER
3 - 0
SCU
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
COL
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |