Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Tottenham Hotspur vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
TOT
2 - 1
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 1
TOT
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
32%
26%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 1
TOT
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
HKS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
HKS
2 - 0
RAD
96%
2%
1%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
RAD
0 - 2
HKS
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |