Tottenham Hotspur vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
ASV
1 - 0
TOT
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1935 |
TOT
1 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1935 |
WOL
6 - 2
TOT
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
TOT
0 - 0
HUR
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1935 |
BBU
2 - 0
TOT
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1935 |
LEI
0 - 1
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1935 |
STO
1 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1935 |
EVE
2 - 2
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |